The chances of getting a top starting hand (pocket aces, picture pairs or A-K suited), is 2.1%. Hold out for one of these and you’ll never get to play much.
If you've got a flush draw after the flop, you'll make your hand 34.97% of the time. That's just over a third.
Don't play any two cards just because they're suited. It only improves your hand by 2.5%.
The chance of one of your hole cards making a pair on the flop is 32.43%, or about a third.
If you flop an open-ended straight draw this gives you eight outs , so you'll hit your hand by the river 31.5% of the time. Just make sure you're getting pot odds.
If you already have a pair, the odds of flopping three of a kind are only 7.5/1 – so make sure you only play small pairs cheaply, and only if the pot is worth it.
In Side Straight Draw Is Rarely worth drawing to, with the turn and river cards to come you'll hit your gut shot straight (four outs) approximately 9% of the time.
If you need two exact cards on the turn and river, the chance of getting them both is only 0.3%. If you get one, there's a 4.55% chance of getting the other.
A pair against two over cards is often called a coin-flip or race, because they each win about half the time.
People talk about middle suited connectors being better than aces, because of the straight and flush possibilities. If you're holding the aces, don't panic – the over-pair will beat the suited connectors approximately 80% of the time.
It might not feel like it, but you'll be dealt a pocket pair on average once every 17 hands, or about 6% of the time.
There's a reason for folding low hands. Even if they’re suited, the chance of flopping a flush is only 0.8% – or 124/1.
If you do get two pair on the flop, the chances of making at least a full house by the river is 16.74%.
But if you flop three-of-a-kind, the odds of making a full house or better by the river go up to 33.4%, or one in three.
Pocket jacks is known as a big danger hand in Texas Hold’em. It may look good, but the chances of a higher card turning up on the flop is 52%, giving your ‘fish-hooks’ less than half a chance of survival.
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